Petsec Energy: Cheap With Many Upside Catalysts

Being mispriced or severely undervalued is certainly one of those criteria but the key of not being tied down to such an investment for years waiting for the so-called “value” to be unlocked and the market to recognize the opportunity all comes down to identifying a trigger point. Several trigger points are even better. One such stock that is extremely undervalued and has several potential trigger points to unlock value is Petsec Energy (PSA).

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Australian Dollar: Everything You MUST Know In 5 Charts

Back in my August 11, 2017 column – Could I Be Any More Worried For Australia – I expressed my negative views on the future of the country given what I was seeing in the residential property market, prestige car sales, wages growth, retail sales and specifically the impact this was having on ASX-listed companies exposed to these bearish trends. The Australian dollar was also seen at risk because of it viewed as a ‘proxy’ for everything that could go wrong domestically. At that time the Australian dollar was hovering around the USD0.80 mark and has since dropped to USD0.735

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Helios Update: Results Shortly On New Oil Basin?

Helios (HE8) was a company that I recommended back on the 8th December 2017 as one of my preferred plays for 2018 and one that was one of my largest holdings to reflect the unique position it presented. The stock was trading around the 6c mark at the time and as I write this column the share price is hovering around the same levels. Not the best return so far but for the patient could be very well rewarded shortly.

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False Sense Of Security: Past Performance Doesn’t Guarantee Future Returns

It seems in the current age of poor banking performance that funds are being directed into other companies and sectors with those staging the best performance over the past 12-24 months experiencing the best buying interest. However, we have always been told that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns when assessing fund managers and the same I believe is applicable to share price performance. It definitely can provide a false sense of security.

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New Market, New Opportunity For MGM Wireless: Kids Smartwatches

As a professional investor and trader who solely relies on the profits generated from my trades, it is crucial that I continually remain at the forefront of new markets, products and opportunities. Getting in early on a new opportunity not only maximizes my returns but arguably can reduce risk because the valuation of the investment is still low and competition is virtually non-existent.

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Update: Am I Still Bearish Banks and Retailers?

I finished the end of 2017 with a distinct bearish view on Australian banks and retailers warning of their extreme vulnerability to tightening lending conditions, rising living costs and a massive oversupply in the housing market. At the same time, many of the opportunities that presented themselves were all concentrated in the mid-cap space, specifically in the lithium, rare earths and other stock specific opportunities.

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Helios Energy (HE8): On The Verge Of A Major Oil Discovery?

As I noted last week, as we round out the year each week I will highlight my best plays for 2018. There are three factors that I base my trading decisions on; 1) technical analysis which forms the bases for my short-term trades and entry/exit timing of longer-term holdings 2) macro trends where the sheer volume of money and/or fundamental changes create a long-lasting re-rating within an industry and 3) successful management/investors.

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Rectifier Technologies: Charging Up Electric Vehicles

 “The Green Movement” is the phrase that I have coined for describing the worldwide push towards cleaner cars, cleaner air, cleaner power, cleaner food and cleaner living in general. This push ranges from everything from the Chinese consumer wanting healthier food products from Australia to Australians increasing their consumption of organic foods all the way through to the requirement to build a massive infrastructure network to accommodate the global era of electric vehicles and driverless cars. Let’s not forget all the ingredients in between as well.

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Zoono Group: Amazing Product With Amazing Opportunities

Zoono Group (ZNO) is a small cap company that has developed an antimicrobial molecule that bonds to any surface and creates a layer of protection that kills bacteria, viruses, mould etc that comes in contact with it. The coated surface stays protected for an extended period of time depending on its application but it can be from anywhere from 24 hours to several months.

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Opportunities Always Exist: Infrastructure Requirements For The Electric Car Boom

In my last note I highlighted many reasons why I am worried about the Australian market in particular the property market and its impact on the banking sector and the broader consumer. We have continued to see weakness in these specific spaces with many consumer stocks reporting poorly and a Four Corners program on the ABC airing this week that showed a small glimpse of the troubles property investors are already feeling.

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Index Watching Can Be Harmful – Long Alibaba

Using the major indices as the only means to be long or short, will mean missing out on a significant amount of opportunities. Let’s take the S&P 500 for example. The index is literally still trading at the same levels it was eight weeks ago. So anyone using the index as a sole ground for being long or short or only trading the index will have missed out on great opportunities at the stock level.

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Transaction Ltd: Exposure To Enormous Growth In India

What is your edge? Just like professional athletes, us traders need to know what our strengths are and play towards these. Rafaal Nadal has a wicked forehand and Rodger Federer one of the best backhands in the history of tennis. They work each game towards their strength and go for the winning shot when the set-up is right. They don’t continuously try and attempt low probability shots early in a rally just to win a quick point nor do they go for extravagant strokes that lead to unforced errors. These are characteristics of players outside the top 10 in the world and why these two players have been ranked number one.

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JB Hi-Fi: Short Squeeze Coming Or Another Peak?

I have mentioned it before, I generally don’t like to trade against large market short positions in stocks that are in strong downtrends. More often than not, the big hedge funds know something the rest of the market does not and invariably they win. Big time. Large short positions in recent years over the mining services companies, Myer, Slater & Gordon, Dick Smith and so on have all netted large profits.

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Sell In May And Go Away – Rotation

Around 80% of the time markets and stocks actually move nowhere. They gyrate and consolidate and when they do rise or fall to new highs or lows, it actually occurs in a very small window of time. Take a look at any stock or index and you will see that the vast number of time spent doing nothing. One of the factors that contribute to this is seasonal. The old saying is “Sell in May and Go Away” and as we approach this typically weak period (or at the very least a period with no direction at all), markets have enjoyed a strong comeback from the dismal start to the year.

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Extending One’s Trading Horizon In Search Of Profits – Tesla

As a proprietary trader whose income solely relies on the accumulation of profits it is important to be able to continually find new trading opportunities AND profit for them. A great trading idea doesn’t necessarily translate into profits if it isn’t executed well. Yes in my earlier years (and even still now) I have had great trade ideas that were right, but I executed poorly and lost money.

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The US Isn’t Leading The World This Time

I noted in my March 17 column of the ongoing downside risks for the US dollar against the Yen and how tentative it looked technically for another leg to the downside. The past week has seen further weakness that is also dragging the Nikkei lower. The same has occurred with the Euro rallying and now being a drag on European equity indices. The large exporters are suffering as their native currencies appreciate and this weighing on share prices.

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Next Phase For Structural Monitoring Systems

There are a few very key reasons why I am not a long-term investor. Evidence. Pure and simple. There is little evidence of companies that have successfully emerged from small-caps into mid-caps and continued to grow into large-cap companies AND stay there. Taking a guess, in my experience, I would say 95% of companies fail at some point in their growth cycle and return back to where they started.

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