Diary: Fed, Local Economy in the Spotlight
While the outcome of this week’s two-day meeting of the Fed will dominate market attention, for Australia there is an important reminder about the health of our own economy.
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Inflation – Why it Matters for Investment Markets
In his regular Insights column, AMP Capital Chief Economist Dr Shane Oliver follows up his earlier Inflation Q & A article with another look at the metric that seems to be haunting markets at the moment.
Read MoreDiary: Inflation – Speck or Spectre?
This Thursday’s May US Consumer Price Index numbers will be high, another test of investor belief in the Fed and other central banks who hold that the rise is “transitory”.
Read MoreSeven Reasons for Optimism on Australian Growth
In his regular Insights column, AMP Capital Chief Economist Dr Shane Oliver breaks down this week’s GDP report and shares his thoughts on the outlook for Australian growth.
Read MoreCommodities, Wages Biggest Threats to Steady Rates
No rate change from the Reserve Bank yesterday, with the official cash rate remaining at 0.1%. But continued strength in commodity prices and wage pressures are looming concerns.
Read MoreShould We Be Worried about Higher Inflation?
In his weekly Insights column, Dr Shane Oliver from AMP Capital gives an in-depth analysis on inflation, what is driving the recent jump, and what the risks are for investment markets.
Read MoreWhy are Australia’s Credit Zombies MIA?
Yarra Capital’s Phil Strano takes a look at the respective risk and return profiles of Yarra’s Australian credit portfolios with comparable credit portfolios/indices in the US.
Read MoreRBNZ Knows When to Hold ‘Em
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has left its official cash rate at 0.25%, where it has been for the past 14 months, and there doesn’t look much reason for a change anytime soon.
Read MoreChallenging the Inflation Consensus
Alison Savas from Antipodes looks at both sides of the inflation debate, the structural drivers that could lead to higher inflation and how Antipodes is positioning for inflation.
Read MoreFixed Income Remains in a Holding Pattern
As Schroders’ Stuart Dear explains, fixed income is in something of a holding pattern as yields consolidate after the recent move higher and inflationary pressures continue to build.
Read MoreShedding Light on Sustainable Fixed Income
Janus Henderson’s Shan Kwee explains the different types of sustainable investments available and the complexities faced in issuing and tracking sustainable investment outcomes.
Read MoreEconomics Wrap: No JobKeeper, No Worries
Jobs and wages return to the spotlight in Australia as we are part of an accelerating employment boom that continues to surprise analysts as well as monetary and fiscal authorities.
Read MoreSpending the Growth Windfall to Further Grow the Economy Towards Full Employment
In his weekly Insights column, Dr Shane Oliver from AMP Capital breaks down this week’s Budget, the key measures it contains, and their implications for Australian assets.
Read MoreThe 2021-22 Federal Budget: A First Look
ShareCafe Head Contributor Glenn Dyer provides a first-look at this year’s – well, the last two year’s in a way – Federal Budget. More to follow over the next day or so.
Read MoreDiary: It’s All About the Budget
The 2021-22 Federal Budget surfaces tomorrow night and from all accounts it is going to look a lot like the delayed 2020-21 document – lots of spending and few signs of austerity.
Read MoreCurrencies / Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver / Strategy
The Return of Geopolitical Risk? What to Watch over the Remainder of 2021
In his weekly Insights column, Dr Shane Oliver from AMP Capital considers the re-emergence of geopolitical risk and what to look for over the rest of the year.
Read MoreEconomy Booms, RBA Ready to Wind Back the Pump
The RBA will keep the key cash rate steady but has started moving to cut the size of its support packages to accommodate the strengthening economy.
Read MoreDiary: PMI Surveys, Local Miners in Focus
A busy week for data, US quarterly reports and local mining companies, with the chance for more records for stockmarkets as the flood of stimulus spending keeps the markets buoyant.
Read MoreBond Market Blinks as US Inflation Edges Higher
Despite the doomsayers’ prediction of carnage at the first hint of a jump in US inflation, when it actually came it passed without too much pain and bond yields actually fell.
Read MoreRBA on Hold and Likely to Remain Easy for a Long While Yet
In this week’s Insights column, AMP Capital Chief Economist Dr. Shane Oliver picks apart what the RBA’s monetary stance means for investors and the broader Australian economy.
Read MoreFed to Go with the Status Quo until 2024
The US Federal Reserve won’t be changing its key rate until at least 2024 following the two-day meeting that ended in Washington early Thursday morning, Sydney time.
Read MoreMarkets Hold Collective Breath for Fed Statement
Nervy markets in Asia weakened yesterday ahead of the Fed meeting statement and media conference for chair Jay Powell, as well as his updated forecasts.
Read MoreHave Bonds Moved Too Fast, Too Far?
While bonds yields have risen on higher inflationary expectations, driven by higher commodity prices and expectations surrounding large US fiscal stimulus, the big unknown is what will happen next?
Read MoreWhere Are We in the Investment Cycle?
Shares have had a very strong rebound since March last year so where are we in the investment cycle? In his weekly Insights article, AMP Capital’s Shane Oliver gives his thoughts on the subject.
Read MoreBond Markets Grappling with Reflation Risks
A reflation ‘dance’ between bond markets and central banks will likely continue through the rest of 2021, as the scope and sustainability of the recovery unfolds, according to First Sentier Investors.
Read MoreRBA to Maintain Current Rate Environment
RBA Governor Philip Lowe has again made clear the central bank will not be changing rates or its current monetary stance, despite the obvious improvement in the economy in recent months.
Read MoreRBA to Sit on Hands for Foreseeable Future
The RBA board has again made it clear that it will not be moving interest rates before 2024 at the earliest, despite speculation about the effects of rising house prices and inflation.
Read MoreRBA Props up Bond Market for Third Straight Session
For the third session in a row the Reserve Bank has bought up billions of dollars of government bonds, choking off a surge in interest rates and sending yields tumbling.
Read MoreEconomics Wrap: The RBA as Therapist
With bond and currency markets febrile and the stockmarket starting to look a bit untidy, investors will be hoping for some calming words and data from the Reserve Bank.
Read MoreBuffett Week: Bond(s), Warren Bond(s)
Fixed interest investors around the world have been given the gospel from St Warren of Omaha – what they are doing these days isn’t very smart.
Read MoreBuffett Week: So sayeth the Oracle
A lot of followers of Warren Buffett will be a touch disappointed his annual letter to shareholders wasn’t as expansive as usual.
Read MoreThe Bond Crash of 2021? Seven Things for Investors to Consider
AMP Capital’s Shane Oliver’s weekly Insights column takes us on a most timely deep dive into the current state of the global bond market
Read MoreMarket Trends: February 2021
David Bassanese from BetaShares runs through his thoughts on how the various markets look likely to play out this month.
Read MoreFinding that Needle of Income in the Haystack of Low Rates
Phil Strano, Portfolio Manager of the Yarra Absolute Credit Fund, believes Australian credit offers an array of interesting income opportunities.
Read MoreLow(e) Rates to Persist, Says RBA Governor
RBA Governor Philip Lowe sees the current record low level of interest rates of 0.10% and other support remaining in place until 2024 at least and possibly 2025.
Read MoreAdditional $100bn in QE the Only Surprise from the RBA
The RBA kept official interest rates and the key bank lending support measure unchanged at its first meeting of the year, but surprised with news that it will boost its quantitative easing by another $100 billion in April.
Read MoreSeven Key Charts for Investors to Watch
AMP Capital’s Dr Shane Oliver breaks down markets across the spectrum and around the globe in his weekly Insights column.
Read MoreBenign Oz CPI Looks Set to Keep RBA Idle
No concerns about rising inflation from the December Consumer Price Index data released yesterday, with the headline CPI rising 0.9% in the December 2020 quarter and by the same amount for the 2020 calendar year.
Read MoreAsian Shares Fall on Monetary Moves, Regulatory Rumblings
Share markets across Asia were lower after comments and a out of character move by China’s central bank in money markets sparked concerns of a tightening in policy and a more stringent approach to risks in the financial system.
Read MoreCommodities / Currencies / Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver
US Political Protests, Inflation and Rising Bond Yields
AMP Capital’s Dr Shane Oliver breaks down markets across the spectrum and around the globe in his weekly Insights column.
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