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Interest Rates

Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

RBA to Sit on Hands for Foreseeable Future

March 2, 2021March 2, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

The RBA board has again made it clear that it will not be moving interest rates before 2024 at the earliest, despite speculation about the effects of rising house prices and inflation.

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Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

RBA Props up Bond Market for Third Straight Session

March 1, 2021March 1, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

For the third session in a row the Reserve Bank has bought up billions of dollars of government bonds, choking off a surge in interest rates and sending yields tumbling.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Economics Wrap: The RBA as Therapist

February 28, 2021February 28, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

With bond and currency markets febrile and the stockmarket starting to look a bit untidy, investors will be hoping for some calming words and data from the Reserve Bank.

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Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Buffett Week: Bond(s), Warren Bond(s)

February 28, 2021February 28, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

Fixed interest investors around the world have been given the gospel from St Warren of Omaha – what they are doing these days isn’t very smart.

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Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Buffett Week: So sayeth the Oracle

February 28, 2021February 28, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

A lot of followers of Warren Buffett will be a touch disappointed his annual letter to shareholders wasn’t as expansive as usual.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver

The Bond Crash of 2021? Seven Things for Investors to Consider

February 26, 2021February 26, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

AMP Capital’s Shane Oliver’s weekly Insights column takes us on a most timely deep dive into the current state of the global bond market

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Currencies / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates

Market Trends: February 2021

February 8, 2021February 9, 2021 - by David Bassanese

David Bassanese from BetaShares runs through his thoughts on how the various markets look likely to play out this month.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets

Finding that Needle of Income in the Haystack of Low Rates

February 4, 2021February 4, 2021 - by Yarra Capital Management

Phil Strano, Portfolio Manager of the Yarra Absolute Credit Fund, believes Australian credit offers an array of interesting income opportunities.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Low(e) Rates to Persist, Says RBA Governor

February 3, 2021February 3, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

RBA Governor Philip Lowe sees the current record low level of interest rates of 0.10% and other support remaining in place until 2024 at least and possibly 2025.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Additional $100bn in QE the Only Surprise from the RBA

February 2, 2021February 2, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

The RBA kept official interest rates and the key bank lending support measure unchanged at its first meeting of the year, but surprised with news that it will boost its quantitative easing by another $100 billion in April.

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Commodities / Currencies / Economics / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver / Strategy

Seven Key Charts for Investors to Watch

January 29, 2021January 29, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

AMP Capital’s Dr Shane Oliver breaks down markets across the spectrum and around the globe in his weekly Insights column.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets

Benign Oz CPI Looks Set to Keep RBA Idle

January 27, 2021January 27, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

No concerns about rising inflation from the December Consumer Price Index data released yesterday, with the headline CPI rising 0.9% in the December 2020 quarter and by the same amount for the 2020 calendar year.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets

Asian Shares Fall on Monetary Moves, Regulatory Rumblings

January 26, 2021January 26, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

Share markets across Asia were lower after comments and a out of character move by China’s central bank in money markets sparked concerns of a tightening in policy and a more stringent approach to risks in the financial system.

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Commodities / Currencies / Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver

US Political Protests, Inflation and Rising Bond Yields

January 22, 2021January 21, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

AMP Capital’s Dr Shane Oliver breaks down markets across the spectrum and around the globe in his weekly Insights column.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets / Politics

Moody’s Reacts Positively to Biden Package

January 15, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

Credit rating group, Moody’s has given an upbeat and thumbs up approval for the Biden package. Moody’s chief economist, Mark Zandi reckoned it will boost US growth this year to 5% or better, and the same in 2022.

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Commodities / Currencies / Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver

2021 – A List of Lists Regarding the Macro Investment Outlook

January 11, 2021January 11, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

2020 turned out far better for diversified investors than had been feared when the pandemic hit, with average balanced growth superannuation funds looking like they have returned around 3%. This followed around 15% last year. But can returns hold up?

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Economics / Interest Rates

ABS Adjusts CPI To Reflect Grounded Travel Industry

December 22, 2020December 22, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

COVID-19 will mean the December quarter Consumer Price Index to be released on the last Wednesday in January, will have a different look to the one released in late October for the September quarter.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets

Fed Upgrades Outlook But Promises Continued Support Until “Substantial Progress” On Recovery

December 17, 2020December 17, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

The US Federal Reserve’s post-meeting statement looked bullish at first glance, and yet the market reaction was muted.

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Interest Rates / Markets

Treasury Issues Notes At Negative Yield For The First Time

December 11, 2020December 11, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

No, Australian interest rates are not going to follow yields in some markets offshore (Japan and Germany for example) into negative territory despite part of a $1.5 billion short term Treasury note issue being sold for the first time at a negative yield.

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Economics / Interest Rates

RBA Holds Rates, Returns To Watch & Wait Mode

December 2, 2020December 1, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

As expected the Reserve Bank left monetary policy unchanged with the cash rate unchanged at 0.10% and no sign of any desire to make an adjustment any time soon.

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Economics / Interest Rates

RBNZ Delivers Further Easing In Monetary Policy

November 12, 2020November 11, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

The Reserve Bank of NZ is persisting with its very expansive monetary policy settings and joining the Reserve Bank of Australia in lending money to banks to on-lend to customers.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets

RBA Lifts Forecasts But Warns On “Bumpy” Recovery

November 6, 2020November 11, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

While the Reserve Bank has revised upwards its forecasts for the Australian economy, predicting it will now contract by a still substantial 4% in the year to the December,’ the outlook remains weak-looking into 2021.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets

Fed Reaffirms Low Rates Amid Election Uncertainty

November 6, 2020November 6, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

As expected the US Fed kept its very easy monetary policy intact on Thursday and again said it would do whatever it can in the coming months to sustain a US economic recovery that is again being threatened by a spreading coronavirus pandemic.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets

RBA: Economy Better But Still Weak And Needs Help

November 4, 2020November 3, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

The Reserve bank moved to further ease monetary policy even though there are clear signs the economy is doing much better than thought in August. But jobs growth and wages remain weak, household consumption is being supported by the likes of Jobkeeper and tax cuts, wage rises are remote and being cut.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets

RBA Ramps Up QE, Cuts Rates To 0.1%

November 3, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

As expected, the prospect of weak inflation, high unemployment, and tepid economic growth for the next few years has forced the Reserve Bank into a set of historic moves at Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup day monetary policy meeting.

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Interest Rates / Markets

Why A Rate Cut Is Looming

October 29, 2020October 28, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

Absolutely nothing in the September quarter consumer price index for markets, although the core or underlying inflation rate remains too low for comfort for the Reserve Bank and increases the chances of a rate cut next Tuesday and other easing measures.

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Economics / Interest Rates

Inflation Spike Unlikely To Worry The RBA

October 28, 2020October 27, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

Gold bugs snore on or why today’s September quarter inflation figures won’t matter (except as a part of economic history and statistical record-keeping).

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Interest Rates

Risks Ahead But Standard & Poor’s Reaffirms AAA Rating

October 21, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

Ratings group, Standard & Poor’s has reaffirmed its AAA rating for Australia and maintained its negative outlook.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets

RBA Flags Major Change In Monetary Policy

October 16, 2020October 16, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

Another major shift in monetary policy from the RBA which will change the timing of interest rate movements in years to come as the bank turns its back on old, established ways of reacting to events in the economy that are perceived to be inflationary, such as a big wage rise or a surge in oil prices.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets

Super Low Interest Rates Come With Side Effects

October 15, 2020November 6, 2020 - by Michael Collins

Ultra-loose monetary policy could even be counterproductive for economies.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates

Why retirees urgently need an alternative to cash

October 14, 2020 - by Stuart Dear

With cash rates set to stay even lower for even longer, retirees urgently need higher-earning alternatives for the defensive portion of their portfolios. Actively managed fixed income investments can provide the answer – and the time to act is now.

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Interest Rates / Markets

RBA Holds But Hints At November Rate Cut

October 7, 2020October 7, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

No rate cut from the Reserve Bank yesterday – thwarting a growing list of economists, analysts, and others who thought there would be one. In fact, two out of three economists in various polls thought there would be a rate cut on the eve of the 2020-21 budget.

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Economics / Interest Rates

Could The RBA Provide A Pre-Budget Boost?

October 6, 2020October 5, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

A defining week for Australia this week with all attention on the Federal budget which for once, will overshadow the monthly Reserve Bank monetary policy meeting earlier in the day. Could the Reserve Bank announce a new series of measures to go with the budget spending?

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Economics / Interest Rates

Keating’s RBA Criticisms Miss The Mark

September 25, 2020September 24, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

It’s clear Paul Keating has failed to understand what the Reserve Bank has done to support the economy – not the federal government and its budget, as he wrongfully claimed it should be doing – but the economy as a whole – business, consumers, farmers, elderly, young – everyone.

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Economics / Interest Rates

RBNZ Edges Closer To Negative Rates

September 24, 2020September 23, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

The Reserve Bank of NZ continues towards the announcement of a negative interest rate regime later this year. The bank said in its post-meeting monetary policy statement on Wednesday that it had made progress on what it calls a Funding for Lending program with the country’s banks that will be a part of the negative rates regime.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets

Rates Lower For Longer After RBA Warns On “Gradual” Recovery

September 23, 2020September 23, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

RBA Governor, Guy Debelle made it clear interest rates will remain at current ultra-low levels for the next three years and possibly more. In an online speech he said further rate cuts could happen as the economy struggles to break free of the impact of the pandemic and sluggish demand.

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Interest Rates / Markets

RBNZ Mulls Negative Rates As RBA Rules Them Out

September 23, 2020September 22, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

With the Reserve Bank of NZ tipped to start heading down the road towards a negative interest rate regime either in today’s monetary policy decision or later in the year, the Reserve Bank of Australia has ruled out a similar move.

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Economics / Interest Rates / Markets

Fed Vows To Keep Keep Rates Near Zero Until 2023

September 17, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

The US Federal Reserve expects to leave interest rates unchanged at record lows until the end of 2023 at the earliest, and beyond if necessary.

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Economics / Interest Rates

Fed Chair Warns “It Will Get Harder From Here”

September 8, 2020September 7, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

Fed chair Jay Powell had a message late last week for Australia, the US (of course), and the rest of the world about the battle to control the coronavirus and emerge with the economy in good shape.

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Interest Rates / Markets

RBA Holds Steady But Increases Cheap Bank Funding

September 2, 2020September 1, 2020 - by Glenn Dyer

As expected the Reserve Bank of Australia held official interest rates at a record low 0.25% for another month as it prepares for the release later this morning of what will be the worst set of national accounts and GDP data for decades.

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  • Evening Report: Market slips on Friday but lifts over week
  • MIN – UBS rates the stock as Buy
  • China Sets 2021 Growth Target above 6%
  • Lunch Report: Aussie shares slide for a second day
  • Australia…One Hour In…ASX200 down 76 points
  • Morning Report: US sharemarkets slumped on Thursday
  • CIA – Macquarie rates the stock as Outperform
  • IGO – UBS rates the stock as Buy

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