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Fixed Interest

Etfs / Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets

Bonds Are Not Forever

May 2, 2022May 4, 2022 - by Russel Chesler

With a view that interest rates will continue to rise in developed markets, bonds face headwinds. Where in the world do bond investors go? The developed world is not enough.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets

Bond Markets and House Prices: Something’s gotta give

April 27, 2022April 27, 2022 - by Janus Henderson Investors

Janus Henderson’s Jay Sivapalan and Dinesh Kuhadas discuss how realistic the market’s cash rate expectations are given the potential for harm to the economy and financial stability.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets

Six Rules for Investing in Hybrids

April 7, 2022April 7, 2022 - by Yarra Capital Management

To help you make heads or tails of hybrids, Roy Keenan, Co-Head of Australian Fixed Income at Yarra Capital Management, shares his six principles for investing in these products.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Property

Interest Rates, Bonds and Listed Real Estate

March 15, 2022March 15, 2022 - by Quay Global Investors

Just as we seemed to be passing peak inflation, Russia’s recent attack on Ukraine has resulted in another spike in commodity prices. Quay Global looks at this from a real estate perspective.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets

The Australian Economy in 2022

December 8, 2021December 7, 2021 - by Frank Uhlenbruch

Frank Uhlenbruch, Investment Strategist in Janus Henderson’s Australian Fixed Interest team, discusses the key events of 2021 and what to expect in the year ahead.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets / Shane Oliver

Compound Interest is an Investor’s Best Friend

November 12, 2021November 12, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

In his Insights column this week, AMP’s Shane Oliver explains why he believes that, if there is one “technical thing” investors should know about investing, it’s the power of compound interest.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver

Gradually Removing Monetary Stimulus is More Good News than Bad

November 5, 2021November 5, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

In this week’s Insight’s column, Dr Shane Oliver of the AMP argues that the march of central banks towards removing monetary stimulus is a positive rather than negative move for investment markets.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets

Fixed Income in a Rising Rate Scenario

November 1, 2021November 1, 2021 - by First Sentier Investors

With interest rates now close to record lows, the scope for bond yields to fall appears limited. In turn, fixed income funds might struggle to maintain their strong recent performance.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets

How Do Interest Rates Affect Stockmarkets?

October 21, 2021October 21, 2021 - by Schroders

With interest rates at all time lows around the world, Kevin Murphy from Schroders looks at how interest rates affect stockmarkets and what may happen in the event of fiscal tightening.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets

‘Reaching for Yield’ into Corporate Debt Takes On a Risky Hue

October 18, 2021October 18, 2021 - by Michael Collins

Covid and its associated consequences have forced many businesses to survive on debt, not economic viability. This, as Magellan’s Michael Collins argues, increases the risk of broader financial instability.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets

From Partying Hard to Doing the Hard Yards

August 24, 2021 - by Perpetual

Market returns across most asset classes have been supercharged since the lows of March 2020, spurred by accommodative monetary policy, stimulatory fiscal policy and an improving global economic outlook as the COVID vaccine rollout gathers pace.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets

Rethinking the Role of Bonds in Portfolio Construction

August 24, 2021 - by Perpetual

The extraordinary monetary and fiscal policy response to the COVID-19 crisis has been very successful in minimising the damage to the global economy, but has also had profound implications for portfolio construction.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets

Three Reasons Investors Need to Source Income Efficiently

August 9, 2021August 9, 2021 - by AllianceBernstein

If investors are willing to expand their horizons, they stand a much better chance of meeting their investment goals. Here are three compelling reasons to go global and multi-sector.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver / Strategy

Central Banks Heading Towards the Easing Exits

June 25, 2021June 25, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

In his regular Insights column, AMP Capital Chief Economist Dr Shane Oliver posits 5 reasons why the Fed’s hawkish tone this week shouldn’t cause you to lose too much sleep.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets

Forecasts Can Fall Short; Humility and Diversity Are Key

June 23, 2021June 23, 2021 - by Janus Henderson Investors

Janus Henderson’s Greg Wilensky and Michael Keough discuss the challenges in forecasting interest rates as well as the tools they use to manage risk and generate returns.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver / Strategy

Inflation – Why it Matters for Investment Markets

June 11, 2021June 11, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

In his regular Insights column, AMP Capital Chief Economist Dr Shane Oliver follows up his earlier Inflation Q & A article with another look at the metric that seems to be haunting markets at the moment.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver / Strategy

Seven Reasons for Optimism on Australian Growth

June 4, 2021June 4, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

In his regular Insights column, AMP Capital Chief Economist Dr Shane Oliver breaks down this week’s GDP report and shares his thoughts on the outlook for Australian growth.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Commodities, Wages Biggest Threats to Steady Rates

June 1, 2021June 1, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

No rate change from the Reserve Bank yesterday, with the official cash rate remaining at 0.1%. But continued strength in commodity prices and wage pressures are looming concerns.

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Commodities / Currencies / Economics / Fixed Interest / Markets

Diary: A Full Dance Card

May 30, 2021May 30, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

A big week for markets and investors – although trading will be shortened because of the US Memorial Day holiday today – that should give us a good idea how the world economy is travelling and where it is heading.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver / Strategy

Should We Be Worried about Higher Inflation?

May 28, 2021May 28, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

In his weekly Insights column, Dr Shane Oliver from AMP Capital gives an in-depth analysis on inflation, what is driving the recent jump, and what the risks are for investment markets.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets

Why are Australia’s Credit Zombies MIA?

May 27, 2021May 27, 2021 - by Yarra Capital Management

Yarra Capital’s Phil Strano takes a look at the respective risk and return profiles of Yarra’s Australian credit portfolios with comparable credit portfolios/indices in the US.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

RBNZ Knows When to Hold ‘Em

May 26, 2021May 26, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has left its official cash rate at 0.25%, where it has been for the past 14 months, and there doesn’t look much reason for a change anytime soon.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets

Challenging the Inflation Consensus

May 26, 2021May 27, 2021 - by Alison Savas

Alison Savas from Antipodes looks at both sides of the inflation debate, the structural drivers that could lead to higher inflation and how Antipodes is positioning for inflation.

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Commodities / Currencies / Economics / Fixed Interest / Markets / Retail

Diary: The Devil’s in the Details

May 23, 2021May 23, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

There will be some low-level economic data releases and central bank decisions this week, while in Australia it’s the start of the lead up to the release of the March quarter National Accounts and GDP figures.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets

Fixed Income Remains in a Holding Pattern

May 21, 2021June 10, 2021 - by Stuart Dear

As Schroders’ Stuart Dear explains, fixed income is in something of a holding pattern as yields consolidate after the recent move higher and inflationary pressures continue to build.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets

Shedding Light on Sustainable Fixed Income

May 18, 2021May 18, 2021 - by Janus Henderson Investors

Janus Henderson’s Shan Kwee explains the different types of sustainable investments available and the complexities faced in issuing and tracking sustainable investment outcomes.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Economics Wrap: No JobKeeper, No Worries

May 16, 2021May 16, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

Jobs and wages return to the spotlight in Australia as we are part of an accelerating employment boom that continues to surprise analysts as well as monetary and fiscal authorities.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver / Strategy

Spending the Growth Windfall to Further Grow the Economy Towards Full Employment

May 14, 2021May 14, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

In his weekly Insights column, Dr Shane Oliver from AMP Capital breaks down this week’s Budget, the key measures it contains, and their implications for Australian assets.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

The 2021-22 Federal Budget: A First Look

May 11, 2021May 11, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

ShareCafe Head Contributor Glenn Dyer provides a first-look at this year’s – well, the last two year’s in a way – Federal Budget. More to follow over the next day or so.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Diary: It’s All About the Budget

May 9, 2021May 9, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

The 2021-22 Federal Budget surfaces tomorrow night and from all accounts it is going to look a lot like the delayed 2020-21 document – lots of spending and few signs of austerity.

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Currencies / Economics / Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver / Strategy

The Return of Geopolitical Risk? What to Watch over the Remainder of 2021

May 7, 2021May 12, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

In his weekly Insights column, Dr Shane Oliver from AMP Capital considers the re-emergence of geopolitical risk and what to look for over the rest of the year.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Economy Booms, RBA Ready to Wind Back the Pump

May 4, 2021May 4, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

The RBA will keep the key cash rate steady but has started moving to cut the size of its support packages to accommodate the strengthening economy.

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Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Diary: PMI Surveys, Local Miners in Focus

April 18, 2021April 18, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

A busy week for data, US quarterly reports and local mining companies, with the chance for more records for stockmarkets as the flood of stimulus spending keeps the markets buoyant.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Bond Market Blinks as US Inflation Edges Higher

April 14, 2021April 14, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

Despite the doomsayers’ prediction of carnage at the first hint of a jump in US inflation, when it actually came it passed without too much pain and bond yields actually fell.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets / Property / Shane Oliver

RBA on Hold and Likely to Remain Easy for a Long While Yet

April 9, 2021April 9, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

In this week’s Insights column, AMP Capital Chief Economist Dr. Shane Oliver picks apart what the RBA’s monetary stance means for investors and the broader Australian economy.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

Have Bonds Moved Too Fast, Too Far?

March 16, 2021 - by Mark Story

While bonds yields have risen on higher inflationary expectations, driven by higher commodity prices and expectations surrounding large US fiscal stimulus, the big unknown is what will happen next?

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets / Shane Oliver

Where Are We in the Investment Cycle?

March 12, 2021March 12, 2021 - by Shane Oliver

Shares have had a very strong rebound since March last year so where are we in the investment cycle? In his weekly Insights article, AMP Capital’s Shane Oliver gives his thoughts on the subject.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Interest Rates / Markets

Bond Markets Grappling with Reflation Risks

March 10, 2021March 11, 2021 - by First Sentier Investors

A reflation ‘dance’ between bond markets and central banks will likely continue through the rest of 2021, as the scope and sustainability of the recovery unfolds, according to First Sentier Investors.

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Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

RBA to Maintain Current Rate Environment

March 10, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

RBA Governor Philip Lowe has again made clear the central bank will not be changing rates or its current monetary stance, despite the obvious improvement in the economy in recent months.

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Economics / Fixed Interest / Interest Rates / Markets

RBA to Sit on Hands for Foreseeable Future

March 2, 2021March 2, 2021 - by Glenn Dyer

The RBA board has again made it clear that it will not be moving interest rates before 2024 at the earliest, despite speculation about the effects of rising house prices and inflation.

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4Q reveals more focus on profit and cash flow

• LBY’s 4Q FY22 quarterly activities update showed continued solid growth in top line metrics, albeit slowing, with GMV of NZ$203m (+26% on pcp) and income of NZ$12.1m (+23% on pcp).
• Net Transaction Margin (NTM) disappointed at -0.5%, due to further increase in credit losses from 4.0% to 4.9% of GMV. However, new fraud and credit risk management tools have seen losses recover materially with NTM back to 1.2% in March and LBY is confident of further recovery in coming months.

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    Signs MOU with Ford Company – Kachi is now sold out!

    Lake Resources (LKE. ASX) – LKE has signed two non-binding MOU’s in the space of 10 days. Ford Company (Ford) has signed an MOU for ~25,000t/year and last week Hanwa, a Japanese commodity trader signed a MOU for up to 25,000t/year. Subject to execution, this is an amazing feat as Ford and Hanwa are prepared to enter into longer-term strategic partnerships with LKE. Commercial negotiations are still ongoing but are expected, especially if Ford & Hanwa inject new equity into LKE, to further de-risk the project financing & thus ensure LKE and Kachi are fully funded.

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      Strategic Vanadium-battery growth with Titanium & Iron earnings resiliency

      TNG Ltd is an ASX-listed technology owner and developer of the world-class Mount Peake near-surface vanadiferous titanomagnetite deposit. To unlock value, TNG will concentrate ore from its central Northern Territory mine for processing through its patented TIVAN® process produce three premium quality revenue streams: hi-purity vanadium pentoxide (V2O5) for steel alloys and Vanadium Redox Flow batteries, a quality titanium pigment for paints and a premium steel input with >64%Fe iron ore fines.

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        Promising exploration and development update while SOP prices continue to rise

        Two recent gravity surveys have considerably exceeded expectations and revealed potential for extensions to the existing MRE at Lake Throssell, plus a material growth opportunity at Lake Yeo. This reinforces the potential for a multi-decade, Tier-1 SOP production hub based around Lake Throssell.

        TMG is currently completing work towards the PFS due early 2023, including drilling to start in Q3 2022, evaporation trials and permitting activities. Results from these programs will support the PFS and any future resource upgrade.

        Benchmark SOP prices have risen to ~US$940/t due to recent geopolitical developments. The Oct 2021 Scoping Study assumed a SOP price of US$550/t and contained a sensitivity analysis showing every 10% increase in price drives a +$144m increase in the project NPV of $364m. The c.70% increase above the Scoping Study thus implies a project NPV of ~$1.4bn.

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          Biopharmas Hit, but Buying Opportunities Created

          The news being reported about the performance of biotechnology has been dour, to say the least, for some time now. Those dour articles have been deserved with the iShares Biotechnology Exchange-Traded Fund down 25% and the SPDR® S&P® Biotech ETF is down 45% from their highs. However, those articles are backward-looking, and successful investors need to be looking forward.

          Recently, however, an article in Nature Reviews Drug Discovery caught our eye which we believe should point the way forward for the vast majority of Australian biotechnology investors. This article indicates that, at least, two companies, Antisense Therapeutics (ANP) and Kazia Therapeutics (KZA), are right in the sweet spot in terms of the future of drug development.

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            Biopharmas Hit, but Buying Opportunities Created

            The news being reported about the performance of biotechnology has been dour, to say the least, for some time now. Those dour articles have been deserved with the iShares Biotechnology Exchange-Traded Fund down 25% and the SPDR® S&P® Biotech ETF is down 45% from their highs. However, those articles are backward-looking, and successful investors need to be looking forward.

            Recently, however, an article in Nature Reviews Drug Discovery caught our eye which we believe should point the way forward for the vast majority of Australian biotechnology investors. This article indicates that, at least, two companies, Antisense Therapeutics (ANP) and Kazia Therapeutics (KZA), are right in the sweet spot in terms of the future of drug development.

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              Coal prices up, debt down – It’s payback time

              Strong 1H22 but the real story unfolds in 2H22.

              TerraCom made two announcements to the ASX on the 28th February – the first was their 2021 Half Year 2021 result which indicated that TER continues to report strong operating metrics as well as enjoying buoyant thermal coal markets which is allowing them to pay down debt at an accelerated pace.

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                Hitting goals – Making four material announcements

                We initiated on Magnis Energy Technologies (MNS.ASX) in December 2021 and since then, MNS has made four material announcements. Firstly; a conditional offtake contract for 600,000t of graphite concentrate from the Tanzanian Nachu Project (net 100%) was signed with Traxys, a global
                commodities merchant with annual revenue of ~US$6Bn; secondly; semi autonomous production has started at battery gigafactory iM3NY, thirdly;
                exciting Extra Fast Charge battery tests were reported and most recently, the game changing launch of the Lithium Slim Energy Reserve battery platform, which supports C4V’s growing EFC capability.

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                  Increasing our Target

                  Despite the lower realised oil and gas price, which fell by 5.4% and 19.7% respectively in August, Calima managed to show improvement in its key business metrics.

                  We expect higher production in November due to the contribution by the new Thorsby wells which will be drilled in August/September which will see Calima meet its 2021 production guidance of 4,500 boe/d.

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                    Emerging Financial Wealth Advisory Group

                    WT Financial Group Limited (WTL) is a growing diversified financial services company, founded in 2010 and listed on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) in 2015. Its advice and product offerings are delivered primarily through a group of independent financial advisers operating as authorised representatives of WTL under its Wealth Today Pty Ltd (Wealth Today) and Sentry Group Pty Ltd (Sentry Group) dealer group operations. It has around 275 advisers across more than 200 financial advice practices Australia-wide. It also operates a direct-to-consumer operation under its Spring Financial Group brand.

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                      Immutep Taking the Fight to Cancer

                      In May 2021, Corporate Connect analyst Marc Sinatra published a comprehensive research report on ASX-listed biotech Immutep Ltd (ASX: IMM). So impressed was he with IMM that Corporate Connect felt it imperative that a follow-up report be released placing a valuation on the company, because the market was not seeing the vast potential of eftilagimod alpha (efti).

                      This follow-up report has been released today. Using comparables, after adding cash back to their EV estimate and dividing by the total number of issued shares, Corporate Connect now places the fair value of an Immutep share at $A2.20.

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                        Phillips 66 to acquire 16% in NVX – 12-month target price rises 7% through project de-risking

                        Phillips 66 (PSX) has entered into an agreement with NVX to acquire 77.9m new shares for US$150m (A$203m). PSX is the worlds largest producer of speciality petroleum coke a precursor for battery grade synthetic graphite anode materials found with an Enterprise Value of US$47.5Bn and assets of US$57Bn.

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                          Market leading lifelong learning platform technology company in Australia and SE Asia

                          PayGroup (PYG) delivers multi-country BPO services and cloud SaaS HCM solutions, assisting companies to manage employees in multiple, complex jurisdictions. The company has many growth opportunities, including new clients, new jurisdictions, new products, partner expansion, and new revenue sources. PYG’s scalable business model allows operating leverage and with savings from in-housing third party technology, support margin expansion.

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                            Market leading lifelong learning platform technology company in Australia and SE Asia

                            OpenLearning (OLL) is a higher education technology company that operates a scalable online learning platform through a software-as-a-service (SaaS) business model and provides a global marketplace of high quality courses for learners of all levels. Its primary customers are education providers based in Australia and South-East Asia (primarily Malaysia). OLL started operations in Australia in 2012 and expanded to Malaysia in 2015, Singapore in 2018, and recently also Indonesia.

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