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Perpetual

Commodities / Funds / Markets

Mining Stocks Buoyed by Base Metal Strength

May 2, 2022May 4, 2022 - by Perpetual

After a March that saw some metal prices touch new highs, Perpetual’s Clarke Wilkins looks at the major commodities and the sectors and stocks that have caught his eye.

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Funds / Markets

Valuing CEOs as the Jewel in the Crown

September 8, 2021September 8, 2021 - by Perpetual

Sound management is a key pillar of Perpetual’s investment philosophy and the COVID pandemic has again highlighted how important this is when developing an investment thesis. But how does this work in practice?

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Funds / Markets

Cyclical Stocks Boost Ethical Fund

August 26, 2021 - by Perpetual

The Perpetual Ethical SRI Fund returned 42.5% for the full fiscal year to 30 June, outperforming the benchmark by 14.0% thanks in part to new investment opportunities thrown up by extraordinary market volatility.

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Funds / Markets

Three Headwinds to Global Growth

August 24, 2021August 24, 2021 - by Perpetual

The global economy is rebounding very strongly in 2021, led by the US and likely to be followed by Europe and emerging market economies. Perpetual’s Michael O’Dea discusses his firm’s market outlook.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets

From Partying Hard to Doing the Hard Yards

August 24, 2021 - by Perpetual

Market returns across most asset classes have been supercharged since the lows of March 2020, spurred by accommodative monetary policy, stimulatory fiscal policy and an improving global economic outlook as the COVID vaccine rollout gathers pace.

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Fixed Interest / Funds / Markets

Rethinking the Role of Bonds in Portfolio Construction

August 24, 2021 - by Perpetual

The extraordinary monetary and fiscal policy response to the COVID-19 crisis has been very successful in minimising the damage to the global economy, but has also had profound implications for portfolio construction.

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Funds / Markets / Video

Shorting Covid Winners as Traditional Businesses Rebound

July 1, 2021 - by Perpetual

Portfolio managers Anthony Aboud and Sean Roger explain why the Perpetual SHARE-PLUS Long-Short Fund sees a lot of COVID changes as transitory rather than permanent.

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  • Lunch Report: 17 May, 2022
  • Wheat Trades Limit Up after Indian Export Ban
  • Cooper Barrelling Along Nicely, Ups Guidance
  • Brambles Shares Surge on Takeover News
  • A Brave New World
  • Another Stay for Foreign Miners in Chile
  • Why Buying the Global Shares Dip May Make Sense
  • Woes Continue as China Reels toward Recession

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Signs MOU with Ford Company – Kachi is now sold out!

Lake Resources (LKE. ASX) – LKE has signed two non-binding MOU’s in the space of 10 days. Ford Company (Ford) has signed an MOU for ~25,000t/year and last week Hanwa, a Japanese commodity trader signed a MOU for up to 25,000t/year. Subject to execution, this is an amazing feat as Ford and Hanwa are prepared to enter into longer-term strategic partnerships with LKE. Commercial negotiations are still ongoing but are expected, especially if Ford & Hanwa inject new equity into LKE, to further de-risk the project financing & thus ensure LKE and Kachi are fully funded.

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    Strategic Vanadium-battery growth with Titanium & Iron earnings resiliency

    TNG Ltd is an ASX-listed technology owner and developer of the world-class Mount Peake near-surface vanadiferous titanomagnetite deposit. To unlock value, TNG will concentrate ore from its central Northern Territory mine for processing through its patented TIVAN® process produce three premium quality revenue streams: hi-purity vanadium pentoxide (V2O5) for steel alloys and Vanadium Redox Flow batteries, a quality titanium pigment for paints and a premium steel input with >64%Fe iron ore fines.

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      Promising exploration and development update while SOP prices continue to rise

      Two recent gravity surveys have considerably exceeded expectations and revealed potential for extensions to the existing MRE at Lake Throssell, plus a material growth opportunity at Lake Yeo. This reinforces the potential for a multi-decade, Tier-1 SOP production hub based around Lake Throssell.

      TMG is currently completing work towards the PFS due early 2023, including drilling to start in Q3 2022, evaporation trials and permitting activities. Results from these programs will support the PFS and any future resource upgrade.

      Benchmark SOP prices have risen to ~US$940/t due to recent geopolitical developments. The Oct 2021 Scoping Study assumed a SOP price of US$550/t and contained a sensitivity analysis showing every 10% increase in price drives a +$144m increase in the project NPV of $364m. The c.70% increase above the Scoping Study thus implies a project NPV of ~$1.4bn.

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        Biopharmas Hit, but Buying Opportunities Created

        The news being reported about the performance of biotechnology has been dour, to say the least, for some time now. Those dour articles have been deserved with the iShares Biotechnology Exchange-Traded Fund down 25% and the SPDR® S&P® Biotech ETF is down 45% from their highs. However, those articles are backward-looking, and successful investors need to be looking forward.

        Recently, however, an article in Nature Reviews Drug Discovery caught our eye which we believe should point the way forward for the vast majority of Australian biotechnology investors. This article indicates that, at least, two companies, Antisense Therapeutics (ANP) and Kazia Therapeutics (KZA), are right in the sweet spot in terms of the future of drug development.

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          Biopharmas Hit, but Buying Opportunities Created

          The news being reported about the performance of biotechnology has been dour, to say the least, for some time now. Those dour articles have been deserved with the iShares Biotechnology Exchange-Traded Fund down 25% and the SPDR® S&P® Biotech ETF is down 45% from their highs. However, those articles are backward-looking, and successful investors need to be looking forward.

          Recently, however, an article in Nature Reviews Drug Discovery caught our eye which we believe should point the way forward for the vast majority of Australian biotechnology investors. This article indicates that, at least, two companies, Antisense Therapeutics (ANP) and Kazia Therapeutics (KZA), are right in the sweet spot in terms of the future of drug development.

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            Coal prices up, debt down – It’s payback time

            Strong 1H22 but the real story unfolds in 2H22.

            TerraCom made two announcements to the ASX on the 28th February – the first was their 2021 Half Year 2021 result which indicated that TER continues to report strong operating metrics as well as enjoying buoyant thermal coal markets which is allowing them to pay down debt at an accelerated pace.

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              Hitting goals – Making four material announcements

              We initiated on Magnis Energy Technologies (MNS.ASX) in December 2021 and since then, MNS has made four material announcements. Firstly; a conditional offtake contract for 600,000t of graphite concentrate from the Tanzanian Nachu Project (net 100%) was signed with Traxys, a global
              commodities merchant with annual revenue of ~US$6Bn; secondly; semi autonomous production has started at battery gigafactory iM3NY, thirdly;
              exciting Extra Fast Charge battery tests were reported and most recently, the game changing launch of the Lithium Slim Energy Reserve battery platform, which supports C4V’s growing EFC capability.

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                Extreme price volatility post 1H FY22 result

                Despite a sharp bounce, the Laybuy Group (LBY) share price has fallen 43% over the last 3 weeks, since reporting its 1H FY22 results on 23 November. While the interim result was below expectation in some areas, the business overall is still well-positioned and tracking very positively. The extreme market reaction since the result is wholly inconsistent with this outlook.

                Broader issues around the BNPL sector and removal from the All Technology Index may be reasons for a de-rating, but LBY has already been trading at multiples materially below peers for some time. After the last 3 weeks, the market’s valuation of LBY is looking even more attractive than previously.

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                  Increasing our Target

                  Despite the lower realised oil and gas price, which fell by 5.4% and 19.7% respectively in August, Calima managed to show improvement in its key business metrics.

                  We expect higher production in November due to the contribution by the new Thorsby wells which will be drilled in August/September which will see Calima meet its 2021 production guidance of 4,500 boe/d.

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                    Emerging Financial Wealth Advisory Group

                    WT Financial Group Limited (WTL) is a growing diversified financial services company, founded in 2010 and listed on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) in 2015. Its advice and product offerings are delivered primarily through a group of independent financial advisers operating as authorised representatives of WTL under its Wealth Today Pty Ltd (Wealth Today) and Sentry Group Pty Ltd (Sentry Group) dealer group operations. It has around 275 advisers across more than 200 financial advice practices Australia-wide. It also operates a direct-to-consumer operation under its Spring Financial Group brand.

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                      Immutep Taking the Fight to Cancer

                      In May 2021, Corporate Connect analyst Marc Sinatra published a comprehensive research report on ASX-listed biotech Immutep Ltd (ASX: IMM). So impressed was he with IMM that Corporate Connect felt it imperative that a follow-up report be released placing a valuation on the company, because the market was not seeing the vast potential of eftilagimod alpha (efti).

                      This follow-up report has been released today. Using comparables, after adding cash back to their EV estimate and dividing by the total number of issued shares, Corporate Connect now places the fair value of an Immutep share at $A2.20.

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                        Phillips 66 to acquire 16% in NVX – 12-month target price rises 7% through project de-risking

                        Phillips 66 (PSX) has entered into an agreement with NVX to acquire 77.9m new shares for US$150m (A$203m). PSX is the worlds largest producer of speciality petroleum coke a precursor for battery grade synthetic graphite anode materials found with an Enterprise Value of US$47.5Bn and assets of US$57Bn.

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                          Market leading lifelong learning platform technology company in Australia and SE Asia

                          PayGroup (PYG) delivers multi-country BPO services and cloud SaaS HCM solutions, assisting companies to manage employees in multiple, complex jurisdictions. The company has many growth opportunities, including new clients, new jurisdictions, new products, partner expansion, and new revenue sources. PYG’s scalable business model allows operating leverage and with savings from in-housing third party technology, support margin expansion.

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                            Market leading lifelong learning platform technology company in Australia and SE Asia

                            OpenLearning (OLL) is a higher education technology company that operates a scalable online learning platform through a software-as-a-service (SaaS) business model and provides a global marketplace of high quality courses for learners of all levels. Its primary customers are education providers based in Australia and South-East Asia (primarily Malaysia). OLL started operations in Australia in 2012 and expanded to Malaysia in 2015, Singapore in 2018, and recently also Indonesia.

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