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Wall Street Ends Lower, ASX to Inch Higher

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Oracle sell-off and firm U.S. data weigh on rate cut hopes
All three major U.S. indexes closed Thursday in negative territory, pressured by weakness in Oracle and a rise in Treasury yields. The S&P 500 slipped 0.50% to 6,604.72, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.50% to finish at 22,384.70. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed nearly 174 points, or 0.38%, to settle at 45,947.32.
Oracle leads tech retreat
Oracle tumbled 5%, extending a three-day losing streak and leaving the stock down nearly 16% from its recent high. Concerns are mounting that the market has overestimated the benefit of Oracleโ€™s artificial intelligence deals to its core cloud business. Analysts at Rothschild & Co. Redburn initiated coverage with a sell rating, projecting a potential 40% pullback.
Tesla also weighed on the market, sliding 4% in the session.
Economic data and yields
Adding to the selling pressure, the 10-year Treasury yield touched 4.2% after fresh labour market data came in stronger than expected. Initial jobless claims fell to 218,000 last week, well below forecasts of 235,000 and 14,000 fewer than the prior period. A separate report showed second-quarter GDP was revised higher to 3.8%.
These signs of resilience could delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. Futures pricing showed the chance of a quarter-point cut at the late-October meeting easing to 85.5%, down from 91.9% the previous day.
Investor caution
Markets are bracing for the release of the August personal consumption expenditures price index on Friday, a key inflation gauge for the Fed. Investors are also monitoring the risk of a U.S. government shutdown. The Office of Management and Budget has told agencies to prepare โ€œreduction in forceโ€ plans if Congress fails to reach agreement.
Australian outlook
Australian shares are expected to open slightly higher, with SPI futures up 8 points, or 0.1%, to 8,810.
Key data releases to watch include ANZโ€™s latest New Zealand consumer confidence survey, Japanโ€™s September inflation figures, and in the U.S., reports on personal income, household spending, and the core PCE index, the Federal Reserveโ€™s preferred inflation gauge.

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