Retail Sales Beat Expectations

By Glenn Dyer | More Articles by Glenn Dyer

Retail sales grew nicely in August and car sales rose again in September as we saw more evidence of a solid pace of economic activity.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics said yesterday that retail spending rose by a faster than expected 0.4% in August, thanks to a rebound in spending in department stores.

Total retail spending rose to $25.1 billion in August, from $25.01 billion in July, beating market forecasts of a 0.2% rise. But in trend terms, the annual rate slowed to 2.6% from 2.7 in July and 4% at the start of this year.

Spending in department stores rose 3.5% in August after dropping 5.8% in July, and sales at cafes, restaurants and takeaway venues again has a solid month, rising 1.2%.

There were falls in other retailing (-0.6%) and clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (down 0.4%).

The Bureau said that in seasonally adjusted terms, there were rises in Victoria (0.7%), NSW (up 0.5%), Queensland (0.7%), South Australia (0.4%) and the ACT (also up 0.7%). There were falls in Western Australia (-0.5%), Northern Territory (-0.5%) and Tasmania ( down 0.1%).

And sales of new cars rose for a second month in September, thanks to another solid month for sales of SUVs (Sports Utility Vehicles) and commercial vehicles, such as so-called tradie trucks like the Toyota Hi-Lux.

Yesterday’s Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries’ VFACTS report showed 102,696 new vehicles were sold in September, up 1.3% on the same month last year. Both months had the same number of selling days.

Sales were 8.2% higher than in August, (There is no seasonal adjustment of the figures).

The Chamber said sales for the first nine months of 2016 totalled 887,076, 2.8% ahead of the same period last year.

Total sales for 2015 were a record 1.16 million units, so the industry is on track for a new peak (even with Ford closing down shortly).

Sales of light commercial vehicles jumped 17.9% on September last year, the fastest monthly rate for a while and coming on top of solid rises in preceding months. They are up 11.2% year to date.

Sales of SUVs jumped 6.8% (and are up nearly 10% for the year so far), while passenger vehicles continued their decline as buyers move to SUVs, especially the smaller soft road town/city models.

Toyota remained the market leader in September with a 16.3% share, followed by Mazda with 11.7%, Hyundai (9.1%), Holden (8.3%) and Ford (7.1%).

The top-selling vehicle for September 2016 was the Mazda3 with 3,491, followed by the Toyota Corolla (3,423 sales), Toyota Hilux (3,209 sales), Ford Ranger (2,903), and Hyundai i30 (2,741).

About Glenn Dyer

Glenn Dyer has been a finance journalist and TV producer for more than 40 years. He has worked at Maxwell Newton Publications, Queensland Newspapers, AAP, The Australian Financial Review, The Nine Network and Crikey.

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