A recent survey of investors found margins are considered to be either the most or second most important driver of Brambles' share price by 84% of respondents. The broker notes pallet rental prices are rising, new pallet prices have increased, timber and transport costs are now falling having risen 35% last year, and new contract wins suggest volume momentum.
Brambles' result has led the broker to reduce earnings forecasts, noting a -1% earnings decline under new accounting standards and a weaker than expected performance for CHEP Americas, due to cost escalation and recovery issues.
Citi observes the share price has been pressured in recent years by the decline in earnings for the CHEP Americas business. These headwinds are expected to fade in the second half and lead to double-digit earnings growth from FY20.