Thumbs up from investors for the National Australia Bank’s full-year results, despite the slide in earnings and lower dividend. NAB shares climbed 3.2% to $19.31. That was despite a 10.7% rise in costs for the year which would normally be a big worry for investors and analysts.
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As expected the COVID-19 pandemic, lockdowns, and the surge in unemployment and business problems whacked every measure at Australia’s big four banks in the year to September 30.
Read MoreThe National Australia Bank has joined rivals ANZ and Westpac in slashing final year dividend after COVID-19 and the recession whacked earnings in the year to September 30.
Read MoreANZ Bank kicks off the 2019-20 bank reporting season on Thursday but the NAB snuck on in Friday with a pre-release update of its own with news of another $600 million-plus of losses and impairments, including wage underpayments to staff.
Read MoreBuried in the Reserve Bank’s latest Financial Stability Review is the best news the country (and the governments) have had since the COVID-19 pandemic started ravaging the economy in February – Australia’s banks are healthy and have more than enough capital to support the economy during the slowdown without getting into trouble.
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Credit ratings group, Moody’s likes the NAB’s sale of its MLC wealth advisory business to IOOF. After the $4.5 billion capital raising earlier in the year, Moody’s says the MLC sale will be a significant boost to the bank’s capital adequacy.
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Melbourne-based wealth manager IOOF is buying the National Australia Bank’s final remaining wealth business for $1.5 billion, a move that completes big four banks divestment from the super, wealth management, and insurance businesses.
Read MoreNational Australia Bank’s third-quarter cash net profit was slightly better than expected due to higher trading income. Revenue grew by 10% on account of recovery in markets and treasury income, reports UBS.
Read MoreThe update showed that the NAB’s third-quarter cash earnings fell 7% to $1.55 billion from a year ago thanks to what the bank said were early signs of deterioration in credit quality.
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The dividend outlook for banks has weighed heavily on valuations since the onset of the pandemic and the resultant economic slump. Has the prudential regulator, APRA, set minds at rest?
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APRA has eased restrictions around paying dividends in time for the June 30 and September 30 reporting season but told the banks and insurers they should seek “to retain at least half their earnings” when considering payouts.
Read MoreThe chances of banks resuming paying dividends have risen sharply after the key regulator, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) indicated a change of mind.
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Global ratings group has found a silver lining in the recession and lockdowns generated by the COVID-19 pandemic – it has made the Australian financial system and the banks, safer.
Read MoreLed by NAB which has doubled the size of its capital raising for retail shareholders to $1.25 billion, citing strong demand from small investors, bank shares have staged a remarkable rally on the ASX.
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As the outlook for earnings has significantly deteriorated and companies conservatively manage balance sheets, the outlook for dividends has been materially impacted. Since the middle of February, over 30% of companies in the ASX200 have deferred, cancelled, suspended, or revised dividends.
Read MoreBoth KPMG and Deloitte have examined the interim reports from the big four and see them better placed for the immediate future than it might seem from the results which all saw a surge in bad debt provisioning, loan impairments and provisions for compensation.
Read MoreBusiness loan growth at National Australia Bank is likely over coming months but of greater concern to brokers is the potential for a surge in bad debts.
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NAB’s big announcements on Monday, especially the cut to the interim dividend and the decision to raise new capital has largely gone down well.
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So will the other big banks follow the National Australia Bank which is looking for up to $3.5 billion in new capital after cash earnings plunged 51% to just $1.41 billion and the bank slashed its interim dividend 60% to just 30 cents a share?
Read MoreThe National Australia Bank has joined Westpac in announcing some balance sheet and earnings tidying up ahead of the release of their interim reports in a couple of week’s time.
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APRA, the financial regulator, has told banks, insurers, and other financial groups to think carefully about deciding whether dividends can be paid to shareholders over the rest of this year and into 2021.
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It’s getting harder for Australian financial regulators to avoid joining their peers in New Zealand, the UK and EU in ordering banks to suspend their dividends and other capital management moves such as share buybacks.
Read MoreBarclays, RBS, Lloyds, Standard Chartered, Santander and HSBC have all agreed to not proceed with dividends. Will Australian financial regulators follow their peers in the EU and UK and tell major banks to suspend dividends and planned buybacks?
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Analysts argue Australia’s banks are in a much better position to weather this storm than they were in 2008, and have been oversold on that basis.
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Bank shares took their second pounding of the week so far yesterday after Monday’s thumping and its clear investors were quite blinkered in their approach yesterday.
Read MoreThe RBA’s rate cut and bets that another will follow in the next month or so have seen questions again raised over the share prices and sustainability of bank dividends at their current levels.
Read MoreNational Bank’s quarterly update highlighted some positive themes, the broker notes, continuing on from Commonwealth Bank’s ((CBA)) result earlier in the week. Net interest margin increased slightly on mortgage repricing, although the broker sees offsetting actions required ahead to counter a lower cash rate. Asset quality is sound and capital has increased.
Read MoreThe National Australia Bank kept its end up in the three months to December with a slightly better than expected cash result.
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If you exclude the likes of Afterpay Touch, then the financial sector did not help the wider market in 2019.
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The shares of Australia’s big four banks rose strongly yesterday after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand watered down its new capital requirements.
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Jamie Nicol, Portfolio Manager for DNR Capital’s Australian Equities High Conviction Fund and SMA, spoke with Informed Investor about the rotation from growth to value.
Read MoreKPMG’s Major Australian Banks Year-End Analysis Report 2018-19 finds that the four majors reported a combined cash profit after tax from continuing operations of $26.9 billion, down 7.8% on FY2018.
Read MoreAs expected the NAB has followed its rivals in Westpac and the ANZ in cutting returns to shareholders after a slide in earnings and revenue for the year to September 30.
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NAB shares slid yesterday in the wake of Westpac’s surprise $2.5 billion capital raising and dividend cut as investors said the Melbourne-based lender would be the next major to cut its payout or even approach shareholders for more money.
Read MoreIn its second and final stability review for 2019, the RBA has warned on a combination of factors that will depress bank earnings, starting with the continuing rise in customer remediation over abuses exposed by the Hayne Royal Commission.
Read MoreThe bank will take $1.19bn in additional remediation charges in the second half in its results. This top-up is driven by the inclusion of provisions for customer refunds for self-employed advisers.
Read MoreNational Australia Bank shares lost 2.3% yesterday after the bank revealed another massive provision to cover the cost of remediating customer complaints.
Read MoreThe chances of the banks paying higher dividends in the coming years look to have diminished after APRA ordered Westpac, NAB and ANZ to set a total of $1.5 billion in extra capital aside.
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Weaker bank shares helped take the wider market lower for another session, but the day’s loss was nowhere near as damaging as Monday’s 1.2% slump.
Read MoreThe RBA’s second 0.25% rate in two months had a predictable impact on bank share prices – down they went, taking the ASX 200 with them.
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