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Which FANG Stocks Will Make You Money?
BY KENT KWAN - 26/08/2016 | VIEW MORE ARTICLES BY ATLASTREND

In early May this year, we published an exclusive investment idea article for AtlasTrend’s members called “Top 3 Reasons for Owning the World’s Most Famous Technology Stocks”. In that article we outlined exactly why we owned three out of four so called FANG stocks in our thematic managed funds.

The term FANG stocks is commonly used to refer to some of the world’s leading technology companies being Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google (or Alphabet which is Google’s official stock trading name). Together, these 4 companies have a combined market capitalisation equal to the entire Australian share market.

Since that detailed article was published (which you can access in full for free by signing up here ), all 4 FANG stocks have increased in price by 5.6% to 15.7% in just under 4 months in US$ terms. Yes, the Australian dollar over the same period has appreciated 3% but even including that impact, an Australian investor would still have made a very decent return.

So are any of the FANG stocks still a buy following their recent strong share price performance?

Facebook – Nearly Unstoppable

Would it surprise you that over the last 5 years Facebook has added on average 200 million active users globally per annum?

Let’s put that into perspective. 200 million people is equal to nearly 9 times Australia’s entire population who become new Facebook users every year. This astonishing user growth is one of primary drivers of Facebook’s rapid revenue and earnings growth.

With a total of 1.7 billion users, Facebook now has one of the largest audiences for advertisers to target. In the most recent quarter (Q2 FY2016), the company generated US$6.2 billion of advertising revenue, an increase of 63% compared to the prior comparable quarter in 2015. On a revenue per user basis, this metric increased by 42%. Over the same quarterly period, the company delivered US$2.8 billion of net income, nearly doubling the net income it made in Q2 FY2015.

The earnings equation for Facebook remains relatively simple. As it adds more users, it becomes even more attractive to advertisers, who then spend more money advertising on Facebook. The company’s recent financial results clearly prove this is happening. Currently trading at 24x FY2017 P/E with 29% forecast earnings growth, Facebook continues to be a very attractive investment.

Amazon – Crossroads of Online Shopping & Big Data

Amazon is one of those unique companies that is exposed to both the rapid growth in online e-commerce and also the exponential growth in data generation globally. With its 270 million active customer accounts, Amazon knows a tremendous amount about its customers. This provides the company with a key competitive advantage versus other retailers through the use of big data customer analytics.

The company has also cleverly leveraged its big data knowledge to build the Amazon Web Service business which provides commercial cloud computing and analytics services. This division is already becoming a future earnings powerhouse for Amazon.

Are Amazon shares really expensive?

Let’s have a look at the company’s earnings profile first. For many years Amazon has been focused on growing revenues as fast as possible given the huge potential market up for grabs. This often led to meagre levels of profits but this has started to change. For example, during Q2 FY2016, Amazon made operating income of US$1.3 billion, approximately 3 times what it generated in Q2 FY2015. It is now starting to prove to the market that it is able to generate growing margin from its huge revenue base (e.g. US$107 billion revenue in FY2015).

Trading at 46.7x FY2017 P/E, Amazon is not cheap on a traditional valuation metric. However, the company’s proven track record of very high revenue growth plus its recent ability to start making meaningful earnings shows there is great potential for the share price to keep climbing higher. If you are a strong believer in the growth of online shopping or big data over the next decade, then Amazon should be an investment in your portfolio.

Next week, we will bring you Part 2 of this article focusing on Netflix and Google. In the meantime, click here to sign up and access the detailed investment ideas article “Top 3 Reasons for Owning the World’s Most Famous Technology Stocks” exclusive to AtlasTrend’s members. It contains detailed exclusive investment insights from AtlasTrend’s investment management team on the FANG stocks which have increased in share price by up to 16% since that article was originally published. 



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Kent Kwan is a co-founder of AtlasTrend, a global equities fund manager that makes it easy for anyone to invest in the world's most thriving trends.


Disclaimer: Atlastrend Pty Ltd (ABN 83 605 565 491) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (No. 001233660) of Fundhost Limited (ABN 69 092 517 087, AFS License No. 233045). Any advice contained in this communication is general advice only. None of the information provided is, or should be considered to be, personal financial advice. The content has been prepared without taking into account your personal objectives, financial situations or needs. If you consider it necessary you should seek your own advice before making any financial or investment decisions. The information provided in this communication is believed to be accurate at the time of writing. None of Atlastrend Pty Ltd, Fundhost Limited or their related entities nor their respective officers and agents accept responsibility for any inaccuracy in, or any actions taken in reliance upon, that information.

Any managed investment fund product (Fund) mentioned in this communication is offered at www.atlastrend.com via a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) which will contain all the details of the offer. The PDS is issued by Fundhost Limited as responsible entity for the investment fund products. Before making any decision to make or hold any investment in a Fund you should consider the PDS in full. The PDS is available at www.atlastrend.com or by calling AtlasTrend on 1800 589 778. Investment returns are not guaranteed. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.



 

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